New infections and hospital admissions continue to fall, but we should remain cautious

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New COVID-19 infections continued to fall in Cumbria in week ending 12 February, down 18% from the week before. Despite the positive news, the number of new infections continues to be high in the context of the pandemic so far.

New hospital admissions also fell - North Cumbria Integrated Care (NCIC) admissions decreased by 38%, and University Hospitals of Morecambe Bay NHS Foundation Trust (UHMB) decreased by 25% from the previous week.

Further, the average number of patients with COVID-19 being treated in hospital beds also decreased from the previous week in both NCIC (19%) and UHMB (15%).

Whilst this week’s report shows some positive trends, intensive care units in local hospitals are still exceptionally busy. This continues to impact on hospitals’ ability to deliver routine care. It will take some time for the reduction in community cases to reduce the pressure in hospitals, but the numbers are moving in the right direction, largely thanks to the efforts of local people to follow the rules and guidance and helping to stop the spread.

Claire King, Public Health Consultant at Cumbria County Council, said:

“The continued drop in new cases is good news and reflects the efforts people have been making to stick to the lockdown rules. But we need to put the numbers in context, for example last year Leicester went into full lockdown when there were 50 cases per 100,000 - and our infection rate in Cumbria is still 3 to 4 times that.

“So any notions that we can start to ‘take it easy’ are really wide of the mark - now is the time we need stay the course and drive infections right down. Only then can we be confident about getting back to normal. Judging by the current rate of decline, that prospect isn’t too far away, but we’ll only get there if people keep going and stick to the rules - we’re clearly seeing the benefits of that working.”

There were 721 new cases in Cumbria (a decrease of 155 - 18% - from 876 cases in the previous week). 

Copeland overtook Allerdale in having the greatest number of new cases (+169 new cases). 

Copeland also overtook Allerdale in having the highest rate of new cases (248 new cases per 100,000 population). 

Rates in Copeland, Barrow-in-Furness and Allerdale were above the national average rate (England = 142 new cases per 100,000 population). 

Rates in Copeland were also above the regional average rate (North West = 183 new cases per 100,000 population). 

New cases decreased from the previous week in all Cumbrian districts except Copeland and South Lakeland.

In Copeland and South Lakeland cases increased by 55% and 11% respectively.

The 25-34 age group accounted for the greatest number of new cases in Cumbria, followed closely by the 45-54, 55-64 and 35-44 age groups.

There were decreases in new cases in all age groups in Cumbria from the previous week.

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Little Ireland | Cleator Moor | Cumbria: New infections and hospital admissions continue to fall, but we should remain cautious
New infections and hospital admissions continue to fall, but we should remain cautious
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Little Ireland | Cleator Moor | Cumbria
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